Are We In a Housing Bubble? Experts Say No.

Divider Image

Are We in a Housing Bubble? Experts Say No. | MyKCM

The question of whether the real estate market is a bubble ready to pop seems to be dominating a lot of conversations – and everyone has an opinion. Yet, when it comes down to it, the opinions that carry the most weight are the ones based on experience and expertise.

Here are four expert opinions from professionals and organizations that have devoted their careers to giving great advice to the housing industry.

The Joint Center for Housing Studies in their The State of the Nation’s Housing 2021 report:

“… conditions today are quite different than in the early 2000s, particularly in terms of credit availability. The current climb in house prices instead reflects strong demand amid tight supply, helped along by record-low interest rates.”

Nathaniel Karp, Chief U.S. Economist at BBVA:

“The housing market is in line with fundamentals as interest rates are attractive and incomes are high due to fiscal stimulus, making debt servicing relatively affordable and allowing buyers to qualify for larger mortgages. Underwriting standards are still strong, so there is little risk of a bubble developing.”

Bill McBride of Calculated Risk:

“It’s not clear at all to me that things are going to slow down significantly in the near future. In 2005, I had a strong sense that the hot market would turn and that, when it turned, things would get very ugly. Today, I don’t have that sense at all, because all of the fundamentals are there. Demand will be high for a while, because Millennials need houses. Prices will keep rising for a while, because inventory is so low.”

Mark Fleming, Chief Economist at First American:

Looking back at the bubble years, house prices exceeded house-buying power in 2006 nationally, but today house-buying power is nearly twice as high as the median sale price nationally…

Many find it hard to believe, but housing is actually undervalued in most markets and the gap between house-buying power and sale prices indicates there’s room for further house price growth in the months to come.”

Bottom Line

All four strongly believe that we’re not in a bubble and won’t see crashing home values as we did in 2008. And they’re not alone – Goldman Sachs, JP Morgan, Morgan Stanley, and Merrill Lynch share the same opinion.

Recent post

Divider Image

Just Listed! 11079 Lakeland Cir, Fort Myers

  11079 Lakeland Cir, Fort Myers, FL Click here to Get Directions $465000 4 Beds - 2 Baths -... read more

June Market Report

Naples Market Update: Shocking Prices & Inventory Surge!

SWFL Market Update: Shocking News! Record prices are here, but so is a surprising surge in inventory! Thinking of buying or... read more

Best Place to live in US

The Florida City You’d NEVER Guess is #1 to Live

Ever dreamed of basking on pristine beaches under endless sunshine? Florida beckons, but with so many options, where should you... read more

SWFL’s Newest Gem: The Ritz-Carlton Residences

Dive into the luxurious world of the Ritz-Carlton Residences Estero Bay! This video takes you on a virtual tour of this... read more

may-2024-market-update

SWFL Market Update: More Inventory, Stabilizing Prices?

Confused about the Southwest Florida housing market? Don't miss this market update video! We break down the latest data for... read more

Invest-in-naples

Is NOW the Right Time to Invest in Naples Real Estate?

Are you considering real estate investment in Naples, FL? This video explores the current market landscape in 2024 to help... read more

13565-Eagle-Ridge-Dr-Fort-Myers-FL.

Just Listed! 13565 Eagle Ridge Dr, Fort Myers, FL 33912

  13565 Eagle Ridge Dr, Fort Myers, FL Click here to Get Directions $250000 3 Beds - 2 Baths ... read more

Thrilled to Share a Client Testimonial about Samantha Bagdasarian!

  We're thrilled to share this fantastic review from Joe Angell about their recent experience with Samantha! At Gulf Pointe Properties, we... read more